Homepage

Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

Claire Enders, an analyst who has followed Murdoch’s businesses for decades, described Carlson’s removal as “typical” for the media scion whose unsentimental nature helped inspire the character of Logan Roy in HBO’s Succession.

“It’s a clean-up operation, a typical Murdoch move,” said Enders. “Someone has to carry the can.”

“I think it could be an editorial decision by Fox to tack away from a host that is so pro-Trump,” says Alice Enders at Enders Analysis.

She added “All media organisations in the US are going to have to clean up their act and impose some discipline – they can’t use the First Amendment as a blanket cloak for everything that’s said by their presenters."

The channel is still facing a separate $2.7bn lawsuit from Dominion’s rival Smartmatic as well as a case brought by a shareholder.

“I think it could well be that there is some move to gather the flock, the employees, the hosts and so on together and just say: ‘Look, there are guidelines you’re just going to have to observe.’”

Service revenue growth was flat at 1.9% this quarter—a reasonable performance considering waning boosts from roaming and UK price rises, and a challenging macroeconomic backdrop.

Looking ahead, operators in most markets are now implementing price rises, providing a welcome (albeit transitory) tailwind to revenue growth—although EBITDA momentum remains subdued.

We expect a consolidation deal to be announced between Vodafone UK and H3G in the coming weeks and a decision from the EC on the Orange/MásMóvil deal in August—crucial issues for the sector’s prospects.

Tom Standen-Jewell, of the media consultant Enders Analysis, told i: “Although TalkTV has been driving engagement across social platforms for [Mr Murdoch’s company] News UK, it still seems reliant on one star man – Piers Morgan – for viewing and in terms of generating headlines.

“The majority of TalkTV’s traffic on YouTube appears to be going to viral interviews on the Piers Morgan Uncensored channel rather than TalkTV’s.”

He added Despite its promotion of in-house journalists, we believe TalkTV is not a comparable funnel to The Sun or The Times; the average consumer is unlikely to be aware that these two national newspapers are owned by one publisher, let alone other brands within News UK.”

Alice Enders, at Enders Analysis, said the fact that English is such a global language will always keep the UK on the front foot.

She added: 'There is also a pool of educated young people who have all the right skillsets.'

But Enders emphasised that the data is more complicated than it first appears as the Office for National Statistics does not provide a detailed breakdown. As well as direct ad sales, it includes conferences and events, making it more difficult to gauge the impact of specific parts of the industry.