The £4.3bn deal values VodafoneThree at an enterprise value of just under £14bn — about 7.7 times next year’s ebitda after depreciation on its lease liabilities, a premium to the roughly 6 times typical for European peers. But Vodafone Three still has a lot of overlapping costs to cut from when Vodafone’s network merged with Three, which means that profit is forecast to grow about 9 per cent a year to 2030 according to Enders Analysis. On that year’s estimates, the acquisition multiple falls to nearer 5.9 times, which is broadly in line with the European sector. Vodafone will be able to spread its general and marketing costs over more revenue.
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Karen Egan at Enders Analysis said the deal is “probably for the best as it simplifies the governance of VodafoneThree at a very important time for the company”.
She added: “The price paid looks like quite a full multiple … but it’s a fair one given the growth prospects over the coming years from the merger synergies.
UK Mobile: Escaping the value trap
5 May 2026The low price, low quality vicious cycle in UK mobile is becoming ever more apparent in both revenue pressure and in network quality surveys.
Policymakers meanwhile demand better quality, coverage and resilience which will be tough to deliver without a more robust revenue outlook.
Without radical change, the government’s affordability priority looks set to win out over its growth one, driving the industry towards (self-reinforcing) sub-optimal outcomes for both consumers and growth.
"Given the structure of the streaming model it is almost impossible to robustly attribute profitability to any single piece of content," says Tom Harrington of media researchers Enders Analysis. He explains that the only ways to do this would be to prove that the specific production led to "a massive volume of incremental sign-ups" or if there is a clear link between viewing and other revenue streams.
Harrington adds that the inability to prove whether a film or a show is financially successful for Amazon may not actually matter as the exclusive streaming content is simply a "a hook to get viewers there in the first place."
The PE firms, which invested in so-called altnets — or alternative networks — are now faced with a sector that has more than £9bn of net debt, according to Enders Analysis, with the dozens of companies posting a combined loss of more than £1.5bn in 2024.
“The overlapping networks between buyer and seller will prompt the CMA to look carefully at the deal to ensure that there will not be anti-competitive effects that will lead to higher consumer pricing,” said Karen Egan, head of telecoms at Enders Analysis.
“However, the companies will argue that the increase in wholesale competition over a wider geographic area will mitigate these concerns.”
Karen Egan was quoted in Metro on Millions of phone users face ‘data rationing and surge pricing’
1 May 2026Karen Egan, head of telecoms at the analyst firm Enders, said networks have long been trying to conserve spiralling energy costs, even before the war.
Each 5G mast gobbles about as much power as 73 households, according to experts, with some even calling them ‘energy vampires’.
The entire mobile network consumes 370,000 homes’ worth of power a year, or a little under one terawatt-hour of electricity.
‘Of course they are mindful to ensure that there is no customer disruption from this,’ Egan told Metro. ‘If there are energy shortages, then they could possibly push these capacity-limiting efforts a bit harder, getting closer to the levels where some customer disruption is possible.’
Abi Watson was quoted in The Guardian on "Revealed: Axel Springer skipped due diligence before £575m Telegraph takeover"
27 April 2026“The price reflects scarcity value,” said Abi Watson, an analyst at Enders Analysis. “It’s above what the underlying economics of a still print-heavy business would traditionally support, but he’s been after it for two decades, his rationale is different to most owners, and it is a done deal.”
Jamie MacEwan was quoted in Digiday on "YouTube is turning audio into an ad product — SiriusXM is selling it"
23 April 2026“In theory, this deal will let SiriusXM find the same people when they are on YouTube and fill in some of those gaps,” said Jamie MacEwan, senior research analyst at Enders Analysis, noting that it seems to be more about reaching scale and depth in a way SiriusXM’s own platforms alone can’t