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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

Jamie MacEwan, senior media analyst at Enders Analysis, said that agencies were facing “sentiment volatility that will be tough for ad agencies to shake”.

He added: “Like it or not, their customers continue to spend big on Google and Meta. This leaves agencies increasingly dependent on a handful of platforms where they are outspent by SMEs and exposed to AI tools. That doesn't mean there isn't a lot for agencies to offer their clients in a complex media world, but clearly real-terms growth on a sector level will continue to be a struggle. That is why even Publicis' years of outperformance have not been significantly rewarded.”

Project Gigabit has made reasonable progress in allocating subsidy contracts covering 1.1 million premises, and the contract holders look on track to complete their build-outs well before the 2032 deadline.

However, this leaves c.1.5 million premises still without the prospect of gigabit broadband, no firm steer as to when contracts covering these might be awarded, and a reduced per-home budget available to cover them.

Openreach looks likely to win most or all of these, and to take over earlier contracts should altnets pull back or fail (an increasingly likely occurrence), increasing its share of subsidised coverage from the current c.30% to around 70% or above.

Disney's Entertainment revenues rose 5% year-on-year to $26.0 billion in Q1, although content and marketing costs pressured operating income down (-9%, $4.6 billion). Management outlined its plan to create a Disney+ home for AI content.

Although a very early development, after 18 months of widening, improvements in Disney+'s UK engagement has seen its gap with Netflix contract.

Disney's global marketing reorganisation—including the development of a brand stewardship function led from the top of the company—is a broadly positive move from an outfit laboured with long-entrenched vertical silos. 

“In this business, they say: sports sell subscriptions, entertainment prevents cancellations,” says François Godard. He is an analyst for the sports rights market and advises companies like DAZN and Sky, as well as the German Football League (DFL). Pay TV without sports rights is difficult, he says. In an industry where everything is now available on demand, a product that still consists primarily of live events is very valuable. Events that no one wants to miss. Sports are the perfect bait for subscribers.

“Netflix remains ruthlessly analytical and laser focused on engagement in the games space, and doesn’t have arbitrary guardrails for what is on or off platform,” said Enders Analysis head of media technology and games Gareth Sutcliffe in an interview with GamesBeat. “Roblox activations will remain in the games and marketing portfolio for some time, as it’s more than a quick execution sandbox given its current high growth trajectory. The brand support tools Roblox is bringing online combined with the overall UGC model are substantively complementary rather than competitive.”

Recently awakened sleeping giant Amazon is using its vast resources to ramp up an aggressive open web stance, offering advertisers low take rates through its DSP.

Adtech firms risk destroying their own margins in response, so are increasingly extending their positions across the value chain as they compete to offer ‘end-to-end’ services.

2026 will be make or break for the agency holding company model as Omnicom resets and WPP’s need to see the benefits of its turnaround becomes urgent.