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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

We forecast broadcaster viewing to decline to 50% of all video viewing by 2031 (from 54% in 2025), driven by continued declines in live viewing, albeit at a slower rate than the sharp year-on-year drop seen in 2025. 

Non-live broadcaster viewing will increase its share, supported by older demographics as viewing plateaus among under-35s—a trend also true of SVOD services. YouTube is projected to continue its advance on the TV set across all ages. 

Although total TV ‘usage’ is flat versus pre-COVID levels, a material and seemingly growing proportion of it (~9%) is when nothing is being watched (e.g. pausing, browsing): this is correlated with smartphone usage and impinges on actual viewing volumes. 

Claire Enders, founder and chief executive of Enders Analysis, said the idea of a tie-up between BBC Studios and Channel 4 was "a perennial that flowered every so often".
 

Although BBC Studios could end up as the ultimate home for Channel 4, Priya Dogra, who became Channel 4 CEO in March, had already taken steps to improve its financial footing, such as winning Skydance-owned Channel 5's advertising sales business, Enders said.

"We're very far from a situation where Channel 4 is a failing firm," Enders added.



 

The push gives platforms an incentive to control both sides of the equation: media buying and the creative feeding it. As Enders Analysis senior research analyst Jamie MacEwan said, “This is absolutely about ad platforms who have invested heavily in AI using it to solve their own problems.”

“The more creative is automated within the platform’s systems, the greater the scope for them to introduce format innovations and optimize performance across placement and creative,” MacEwan said.