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Enders Analysis provides a subscription research service covering the media, entertainment, mobile and fixed telecommunications industries in Europe, with a special focus on new technologies and media.

Our research is independent and evidence-based, covering all sides of the market: consumers, leading companies, industry trends, forecasts and public policy & regulation. A complete list of our research can be found here.

 

Rigorous Fearless Independent

Tom Harrington, head of Television at Enders Analysis, said Sky sees ITV as a second platform to show already aired on the satellite broadcaster, “potentially at the expense of current levels of new ITV programming. Whatever the initial intention, this will inevitably occur to some extent.”

Harrington added: “Gangs of London or (Sky comedy) Brassic might actually be a supportive complement to (ITV’s) Trigger Point and Midsomer Murders, and an altogether better outcome for Sky than their current onward destination, Netflix.” Those shows could be marketed prominently on ITV and generate more advertising revenue there than on Netflix.

Abi Watson, head of publishing at media analysis firm Enders, said the medium-term play isn’t really about productivity, but what new product categories AI makes possible. “Where AI shortens the cycle from idea to a launched paid product — [like] a new newsletter tier, a verticalized data product, an agentic research interface for subscribers, a B2B agent licensing line — the upside is real because it’s tied to subscription or enterprise revenue rather than internal efficiency,” she said.

 

“There are ferocious negotiations going on, on really fundamental issues — for instance whether the BBC will take advertising on its website, iPlayer or somewhere else,” said Claire Enders, founder of the media research company Enders Analysis. “These fundamentals have yet to be hammered out, and it’s a negotiation with the Treasury as well. The BBC has never walked out of a charter process without more to do for less.” 

Altnet ARPUs are much lower than those of BT and VMO2, the premium-brand incumbents, but not so much lower than TalkTalk, and they are not rising appreciably over time.

Altnet ARPU is generally much lower than premium-brand incumbents both because their prices are lower, and because of the type of customers that low prices attract. Maturity will not solve these issues.

With incumbent and altnet pricing remaining low, there appears to be little potential for the altnets to meaningfully improve ARPUs, leaving their economics fatally stretched.

Studios revenue growth (+4% year-on-year, to £400 million) balanced advertising decline, which dragged Media and Entertainment down 2% (to £477 million): total revenues were flat YoY. Viewing has been poor to start 2026, but there is a World Cup approaching.

ITV’s total advertising revenue (TAR) was down 1.5% in Q1 to £416 million, with digital ad revenues up 14%. ITV expects Q2 to improve 10% YoY.

With the acquisition of ITV M&E appearing close, the ramifications of the change of ownership for ITV’s output is a nuanced consideration.

Audience needs remain unchanged: creativity, talent, and community are central to building user relationships.

Discoverability, distribution, and formats are evolving rapidly. Technical alignment is key to unlocking user value. New means of scaling, partnering, and monetising need to be considered as AI and IP structures evolve.

Publishers don’t need to be everywhere: the fundamentals of content, brand, and curation are still key with no one-size-fits-all route to success. Agility and experimentation are crucial as the ecosystem continues to evolve.

Big tech platforms are extending their advertising lead by deploying existing AI strengths to expand functionality and offer advertisers streamlined performance.

A cohesive model for chatbot advertising is still elusive. While in the process of defining its positioning, it currently impacts discovery more than search.

Scale no longer guarantees agency advantage: value capture is shifting away from providing services and towards owning the processes, tools, IP, and media.

VMO2’s broadband and mobile segments both worsened in Q1 to decline at 3–4%, with altnets hitting the former and an over-publicised price rise change hitting the latter.

Subscriber trends however improved on both, with the broadband base notably reaching near stability as altnet pressure gradually recedes.

2026 will still be a tough year for the company, with service revenue/EBITDA guidance of a 3–5% decline for both looking realistic, but momentum thereafter is likely to be much improved